latest Betfair odds

[BlueSwan]

Democrats
Clinton 90.9
Sanders 7.0
O’Malley 1.5

Looks about right, although I think Clinton's chances of winning are actually above 95%

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Cruz way too high, Trump way too low. Bush and Christie should switch numbers. Carson should be at 0,1% tops (I said the same when he was #1 in the polls). Huckabee shouldn't be registrering at all. Rubio is correctly at #1, but he should NOT be at double of what Trump is at. Rubio 35% and Trump 25% seems more correct.

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Cruz is way too high again. Even if he finds some way of winning the GOP nod, which I think is highly unlikely (can't see him beating either Rubio, Trump or Christie in a two-way), he would have to rely on the democrats nominating Sanders, which is even more unlikely. Cruz beating Clinton would probably be the single biggest upset in american presidential history. Every weakness that Clinton has, Cruz has twofold. People tend to forget that EVERYBODY hates Cruz once they get to know him.

[BlueSwan]

Clinton still seems underpriced. Sure, Sanders could theoretically still win it, but it would take some very special circumstances and the chances of that are surely well below 10%.

[BlueSwan]

Trump keeps surging.  Kasich is almost down into Rubio territory…

Up: Trump
Down: Cruz

Democrats
Clinton 96.2
Sanders 3.3
Biden 1.9

Republicans
Trump 82.6
Cruz 13.8
Kasich 1.8
Rubio 1.1
Ryan 0.7

Dem VP
Castro 29.6
Kaine 14.5
Warren 12.8
Perez 10.7
Patrick 10.5

GOP VP
Kasich 20.8
Christie 14.9
Martinez 11.1
Fiorina 10.9
Rubio 10.5

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.