That’s all true but it’s not like this is the first time the Conservatives have been riding high in BC federally. The Tories did very well in BC during the time of the 2005, 2009 and 2013 BC elections and the BC Liberals were led at the time by people who were very rightwing but who had strong federal Liberal pedigrees like Gordon Campbell and Christy Clark. Ironically, Kevin Falcon is the first federal Conservative to become leader of the B.C. Liberals and its under his leadership that that party is collapsing at the expense of the BC Conservatives
But yes this isn't the first time the BC Cons have polled high, but surely they haven't polled this high in recent years right? There used to be the odd pre-writ poll that had them in the teens, but polling in the 30s is new and a much bigger threat to BCU.
At the peak of the Cummins insurgency in 2011/12, the best they did was tie with Christy Clark. This is a whole different ball game – even online polls have BCU barely clinging to double digits now. CPBC being closer to the NDP than BCU/Liberals is unprecedented.