How would an "Americans abroad" general election map look?

[vitoNova]

Depends if you consider the "Americans abroad" / "American expat community" to encompass the hundreds of thousands of servicemembers, defense contractors, and government employees who live and work in military communities overseas.

Hell, I spent a cumulative total 8 years overseas (3 years in uniform, 5 years civilian), and we never used the terms "expat" or "Americans abroad" to describe ourselves because I'm not sure if an American on SOFA status who gets paid in US dollars, pays US taxes, and lives and works largely amongst other Americans inside an American enclave can truly be considered an "expat", despite being in a foreign setting.

Because if you count them in the tally, I'm guessing it will skew GOP.  

[vitoNova]

I actually think Mexico could be Republican. Have to imagine a lot of the people who move to places like Baja are pretty similar to the sorts of people who move to Florida or Arizona.

Yup.  As a kid I sometimes used to visit my uncle in Chula Vista during the summer, and I can confirm.  His network of friends and cronies from his real-estate ventures who decided to move down to Baja or purchase property down there were definitely well-to-do boomers of the "Jimmy-Buffett-Republican" persuasion.   

A term I literally just made up, but accurately describes the ruddy-cheeked gringos down there.