nkpatel1279
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,714
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« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2009, 12:25:10 PM » |
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lets look at the Democrats seats. (AR,CA,CO,CT,DE,HI,IL,IN,MD,NV,NY,NY,ND,OR,PA,VT,WA,and WI) 18 seats. Out of the 18 seats. The following are safe or Dem Favored. (CA-Boxer trounces DeVore or Fiorina, HI-Inouye, IN-Bayh trounces Hostettler, MD-Mikulski, Both NY seats. Schumer and Gillibrand dont have any GOP opponents- Regarding Gillibrand- she will trounce King- If Pataki reconsider- I will move Gillibrand to the lean or Tossup category- which is highly unlikely. ND-Dorgan, OR-Wyden, VT- Leahy, WA-Murray, WI- Feingold- doubtful that Thompson runs. 11 are safe. That leaves us 7 vulnerable seats. (AR,CO,CT,DE,IL,NV,and PA). Out of those 7. The following will remain in the Democratic collumn. (DE-Beau Biden-D narrowly defeats Castle-R. State leans Democrats- Biden is a much stronger candidate than Castle-R. IL- Alexi Giannoulias-D defeats Mark Kirk-R- State leans Democrats- Giannoulias will get alot of help from Obama Whitehouse- The Daley-Madigan-Hynes Machine. NV-Reid-D narrowly defeats whoever the GOP nominates- due to negative campaiging. PA- Specter-D narrowly wins due to huge support in the Philly Area- which offsets losses elsewhere.). The remaining 3 are likely to fall Republican (AR- Lincoln assuming 2010 is a pro GOP year. National Democratic party is highly unpopular in AR. CO- Bennett- due to lack of incumbency-voter are not fimiliar with Bennett. and state being currently anti Democratic and Anti Obama. CT- Dodd due to high unfavorable rating, scandals and top tier GOP challenger. 2010 will be similar to 2002.
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