What percentage does he have to get on the 1) Island, 2) Boroughs, 3) Upstate
I'm thinking 57-60% on LI, 35% somehow in the boroughs with depressed turnout (the key perhaps), and 60% upstate if he's to have a chance.
Also, is there a chance a third party candidate could shave 2-3 points away from Hochul? That will be key too.
Only Hochul and Zeldin are on the ballot. The NY Democratic Party was able to keep any 3rd parties off the ballot to prevent any losses from the left.
Interesting. When I lived in NY, the third party candidates consistently helped Republicans when they used to win statewide.
