IL Gov- Is Rauner completely cooked, or is there any hope?

[sg0508]

After leading by double-digits in August and even into early September, he's now fallen behind by five points or more in a few polls.  Is it near give-up time and is he likely to lose going away, or is there any way to rebound and possibly steal this race from Quinn after all?

From what I read on the forum, it appears his biggest issue (and it's a big problem) is his "image".  Quinn isn't winning this race, but rather Rauner is giving it away.

Thoughts?

[sg0508]

Good point in that we know Cook County tends to have one of the strongest "coming home" effects of any in the country.  So, Quinn is likely to add an additional 2-3 points, if not more to his final polled percentage.

[sg0508]

To build on what I was saying concering the "Cook Coming Home" effect, back in '98, Moseley-Braun came out of nowhere late to almost steal that Senate race from Peter Fitzgerald.

So, if Rauner has fallen behind now (even before the "coming home" effect happens), it's not looking good.