Why South Carolina? Democrats have been stuck at the low 40% range for years, it’s not trending D at all. It’s closer than most red states but I think Republicans have a very hard floor here, especially since Jaime Harrison didn’t even get within single digits.
Bold prediction: In 2024, New Mexico will vote to the right of the NPV (and thus would flip in a PV win for the GOP.)
The writing on the wall is there based on the 2020 PRES/SEN results, and the Latino trend towards the GOP looks favorable
Why? New Mexico actually trended slightly MORE left this cycle, and Biden had the largest margin for a Democrat since 1964.
Second largest. Obama won it by 15% in 2008.
