Make an Obama/Romney trend map (user search)
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  Make an Obama/Romney trend map (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make an Obama/Romney trend map  (Read 3090 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
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Posts: 22,403
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« on: April 05, 2012, 10:13:51 PM »

Despite what some polls currently say, I think it'll be pretty close on Election Day. I'm actually starting to really think Obama could win the popular vote but lose the electoral vote.



30% is about a 1-3% shift, not too much. 40% is a 4-7% shift, and 60% is 7%+. There's probably a couple mistakes, I just didn't catch them.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,403
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2012, 10:37:21 PM »

Despite what some polls currently say, I think it'll be pretty close on Election Day. I'm actually starting to really think Obama could win the popular vote but lose the electoral vote.



30% is about a 1-3% shift, not too much. 40% is a 4-7% shift, and 60% is 7%+. There's probably a couple mistakes, I just didn't catch them.

Note that this is a trend (swing relative to the national vote) map, not a swing map. All trends need to cancel each other out, and that doesn't seem possible with only nine states trending Obama.
You're correct. Just pretend it's a swing map, then. Wink
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