Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread

[tmthforu94]

Story is looking good for Romney, and Dubuque still isn't in yet. This is possible.

Bachmann's really good at going after Obama. She's not playing the bitter, whiny card and attacking Mitt Romney like another person who's been in the House before.

[tmthforu94]

Bachmann receieved 4800 votes in the Iowa Straw Poll. She's currently at 5900. Ouch. :/

[tmthforu94]

They're holding the last 10 precincts in Dubuque to make sure Romney wins this.

[tmthforu94]

Well, if Huntsman wasn't in the race, Romney would be winning right now, more than likely. He's received 700 votes.

[tmthforu94]

I'm not sure why Romney fans are so excited.

1. Romney is basically going to tie Rick Santorum, a guy who was going nowhere as soon as last week. People are so desperate to not have Romney that they fueled Santorum to the top. Are you really going to celebrate that?

2. Romney didn't improve on his 2008 record, and he's only in 1st is because so many folks split the social conservative vote. With no Perry or Bachmann (who now have no chance), Santorum would be up by nearly 20% more.

3. The race gets harder for Romney now, because tonight's losers are as good as gone, and their support will undoubtedly shift to Santorum.

Once again...Romney barely paid attention to Iowa this time, and is extremely close to winning it. NO Republican has ever won both Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney is going to have a ton of momentum if he comes out the winner in both states.

Forgive me, but I'm unimpressed.

Romney ignored Iowa and would have been totally crushed again by the social conservatives if they hadn't divided up the vote four different ways. Instead, he's going to fall into second place, with a similar vote share to 2008, after running as the inevitable front runner for four years.

As Santorum is going to win tonight, once again no Republican will win both Iowa and New Hampshire. And what is that they say about whoever wins South Carolina?

Uhh, Romney is right where he was in 2008 %-wise, despite spending little time there. If he had actually put a valiant effort in there, he would have won comfortably tonight.

You keep talking like Santorum is the projected winner. We must not be watching the same returns, because the ones I'm watching have Santorum just barely ahead of Romney, and most of the counties that are still reporting are counties Romney is winning.

[tmthforu94]

Rick Perry just choked up reading a letter on FOX News.

[tmthforu94]

Uh, Romney and his allies spent literally millions and millions of dollars on ads in Iowa. The idea that he didn't put any resources into the state is completely false.

I didn't say he put no resources, he just didn't make a valiant effort. Iowans usually reward people who spend a lot of time in the state, and considering Mitt didn't start heavily campaigning here until a week or two ago, I think 25% is very good. We weren't originally going for a win here. This wasn't a part of the original strategy.

I am very happy with the results tonight, regardless if Mitt takes first or second.

[tmthforu94]

I actually wish Perry would stay in. I think he could have a small chance in South Carolina, depending on how he campaigns there. He's a very likeable guy to Republicans, I think.

[tmthforu94]

FOX just said of the 61 remaining precincts, 50 of them are in counties Romney is leading.

[tmthforu94]

And Gingrich looks like he's staying in the race specifically to throw all of his money into running attack ads against Romney. This is going to be fun.

Wait, Gingrich is the guy who's running a positive campaign and is urging others to make this a positive race. Surely HE wouldn't be running anything negative?

[tmthforu94]

It's at 34 votes now.

[tmthforu94]

A bunch of Story just came in - Romney leads Paul by 1 vote there.

Romney may not even win the county that put him over the top!

[tmthforu94]

7 Precincts left in Harrison, 1 in Keokuk, 1 in Hancock, 1 in Crawford, 1 in Appanoose. All Santorum counties and he's leading on Google with Dubuque in and 1 precinct left in Stony.

Frothy may come in from behind.

We'll see on Harrison - Romney did win here in 2008. Not that is means anything.

[tmthforu94]

I'm so flippin tired.

[tmthforu94]

Mitt's speaking

[tmthforu94]

After tonight, I feel like I could drive through Iowa without a GPS.

[tmthforu94]

IS Harrison the last one/done with all of its precincts?

There's a couple others.

Santorum now up on Google.

[tmthforu94]

ROFLMAO

A guy just lifted up his beer bottle to cheer when Mitt Romney finished speaking.

Oh the irony...

[tmthforu94]

BTW, Santorum's in 2nd in Clayton County. CNN now has Santorum up by 34.

This could really go either way.

[tmthforu94]

Why are some people claiming that Paul can win the delegates, even though he won't win the popular vote? Is that even possible? Apparently Paul supporters are sticking around to become delegates, while a lot of Romney and Santorum supporters were going home. Is it just wishful thinking?

Proportional.

[tmthforu94]

Has there ever been an election this big that has come down to the final two precincts?

None that I can remember.

[tmthforu94]

Why is this taking so long!?!?!?!

[tmthforu94]

Romney just took the lead on Google, apparently.

...but no change in precincts. Weird.

^^^What I was thinking.

[tmthforu94]

Good lord....

[tmthforu94]

Apparently there was an error in another county, and Keokuk put Santorum back up by 4.

I think this race is TCTC.