Future voting patterns.... (user search)
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  Future voting patterns.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: Future voting patterns....  (Read 40472 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« on: April 18, 2009, 12:26:37 PM »

lol...
Republicans had a better chance at putting up a Republican than Democrats, looking back at 2004. Most people didn't know much about BO, and those who did probably didn't think he would run due to lack of experience. Republicans had Rice and Powell up there, and both were, and still are, very electable.
This is my thought by 2028...
The south won't be as heavy Republican, although most states will still vote Republican comfortably. Democrats will take Arizona and Colorado away from us, and all together, just dominate in the west and southwest, including making Texas competitive. Republicans will make huge strides in the North. Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin will all be Republican, while Illinois, Missouri, and Iowa will be toss-ups, along with Pennyslvania. Just like how Democrat's make the south competitve, the Republicans will make the Northeast competitve. Republican will continue their dominance in the midwest.

Republican >30%- Barely Republican
Republican >50%- Lean Republican
Republican >70%-Strong Republican
Democrat >30%-Barely Democrat
Democrat >50%-Lean Democrat
Democrat >70%-Strong Democrat

My map...

North Carolina is the tossup state. That's just me choosing the state I would think to be the closest in that election. The electoral count gives Republicans a 261-262 lead.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2009, 03:43:56 PM »

lol...
Republicans had a better chance at putting up a Republican than Democrats, looking back at 2004. Most people didn't know much about BO, and those who did probably didn't think he would run due to lack of experience. Republicans had Rice and Powell up there, and both were, and still are, very electable.
This is my thought by 2028...
The south won't be as heavy Republican, although most states will still vote Republican comfortably. Democrats will take Arizona and Colorado away from us, and all together, just dominate in the west and southwest, including making Texas competitive. Republicans will make huge strides in the North. Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin will all be Republican, while Illinois, Missouri, and Iowa will be toss-ups, along with Pennyslvania. Just like how Democrat's make the south competitve, the Republicans will make the Northeast competitve. Republican will continue their dominance in the midwest.

Republican >30%- Barely Republican
Republican >50%- Lean Republican
Republican >70%-Strong Republican
Democrat >30%-Barely Democrat
Democrat >50%-Lean Democrat
Democrat >70%-Strong Democrat

My map...

North Carolina is the tossup state. That's just me choosing the state I would think to be the closest in that election. The electoral count gives Republicans a 261-262 lead.

LOL The northern Midwest becoming solid GOP...
This is 20 years away. For all you or I know, a third party could emerge and dominate. I'm just making a guess based on trends and such.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2009, 03:54:36 PM »

lol...
Republicans had a better chance at putting up a Republican than Democrats, looking back at 2004. Most people didn't know much about BO, and those who did probably didn't think he would run due to lack of experience. Republicans had Rice and Powell up there, and both were, and still are, very electable.
This is my thought by 2028...
The south won't be as heavy Republican, although most states will still vote Republican comfortably. Democrats will take Arizona and Colorado away from us, and all together, just dominate in the west and southwest, including making Texas competitive. Republicans will make huge strides in the North. Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin will all be Republican, while Illinois, Missouri, and Iowa will be toss-ups, along with Pennyslvania. Just like how Democrat's make the south competitve, the Republicans will make the Northeast competitve. Republican will continue their dominance in the midwest.

Republican >30%- Barely Republican
Republican >50%- Lean Republican
Republican >70%-Strong Republican
Democrat >30%-Barely Democrat
Democrat >50%-Lean Democrat
Democrat >70%-Strong Democrat

My map...

North Carolina is the tossup state. That's just me choosing the state I would think to be the closest in that election. The electoral count gives Republicans a 261-262 lead.

LOL The northern Midwest becoming solid GOP...
This is 20 years away. For all you or I know, a third party could emerge and dominate. I'm just making a guess based on trends and such.

Just a question : what does it give in electoral votes ?
I believe I stated that underneath the map. The Republican has a 261-262 lead.
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2009, 06:59:30 PM »

It's just an educated guess. My thoughts are, that while Latino's start breaking hard Democrat, African-Americans will start trending Republican. Now, we won't win the black vote, but it won't be a landslide. Maybe, 65-35. Therefore, we won't lose by as much in cites such as Chicago or New York. As states around it start trending Republican, I suspect it will too! It's the only state in that area that is a solid Democrat. Something has to give.
The Republican party will become much more moderate, appealing to whites in places such as Connecticut. The Democrat party will be dominated by older liberals and Latino's. Connecticut is a stretch, but once again, this is only a guess. Utah could be voting Democrat in 20 years...
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