Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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Posts: 14,348
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« on: July 18, 2005, 02:19:34 PM » |
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« edited: July 18, 2005, 05:42:10 PM by Winfield »
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More than two tickets, but here is my analysis
Republican Ticket
Gov Mitt Romney (MA) Pres
Gov Mark Sanford (SC) VP
Democratic Ticket
Gov Bill Richardson (NM) Pres
Former Sen John Breaux (LA) VP
Independent Ticket
Gen Norman Schwarzkoph (FL) Pres
Former Gov Jesse Ventura (MN) VP
A combination of the following factors contribute to this result:
Mitt Romney is able to appeal to more moderate voters in states that have traditionally gone Democrat in presidential elections, while at the same time holding on to the Republican vote in these states. He is able in particular to appeal to voters in the northeast and New England, while not alienating many traditionally Republican states in the south, midwest and west. His running mate Mark Sanford helps greatly in holding most of the south and other traditionally Republican states.
Bill Richardson's appeal is able to win the traditionally Democratic states of Maine, Vermont, New Jersey, Delaware, Illinois, Wisconsin, Washington, Oregon, as well as the swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Iowa. Richardson of course goes over well in his home state of New Mexico, and is able to bring the neighboring state of Arizona into the Democratic column as well. John Breaux on the ticket helps greatly in winning the states of Virginia, West Virginia, North Carolina, Tennessee, and of course Louisiana.
The Independent ticket of Schwarzkoph/Ventura siphons off enough fiscally conservative and those who support a strong military Republican votes in the states of Kansas, Oklahoma, Montana, Wyoming in order to swing these states to the Democrats.
In the traditionally Democratic states that voted for the Republican ticket, the Schwarzkoph/Ventura ticket siphoned off votes from social liberals who would otherwise have voted Democrat. This, combined with Romney's moderate appeal in these states helped the Republicans win them. Of course, in these traditionally Democratic states the Schwarzkoph/Ventura ticket also siphoned off fiscally conservative voters from the Republican ticket, however, they siphoned off far more social liberals than they did fiscal conservatives, again contributing to the Republican victories in these states.
The Shwarzkoph/Ventura ticket as well recieves a considerable number of independent voters who would otherwise have voted Republican or Democrat, which is another contributing factor to the vote splits that produce these results.
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