ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (user search)
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  ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND-SEN: But you are, Blanche, you are  (Read 109399 times)
cinyc
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Posts: 12,720


« on: October 09, 2018, 10:14:41 PM »

What I'm confused about is why the Purcell principle did not apply here? This is a major rule very close to an election, and SCOTUS has blocked other changes in the past. What is the rationale this time? This seems like a pretty clear cut idea. If you want to suddenly create new requirements to vote (or allow existing ones to go into effect), don't do it just a month or two before a general election.

The 8th Circuit lifted the District Circuit's stay in September - before any ballots were mailed out. They ruled the Purcell didn't apply at that time. The Supreme Court just upheld what was ruled on in September.

http://media.ca8.uscourts.gov/opndir/18/09/181725P.pdf

As to the effect of this, even the District Court acknowledged that about 13x more non-Native Americans didn't have the proper ID at the time of their decision than Native Americans. Given Native Americans' already anemic voter participation rate, requiring a voter ID might actually preclude more Republicans from voting than Democrats.
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,720


« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2018, 07:21:40 PM »


Atlas was, is and will always be hackish.
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,720


« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2018, 07:32:55 PM »


True, but I have no doubt that if the 2010 Arkansas Senate race took place today we'd have at least a few posters insisting Blanche still had a chance. So if BRTD's memory is accurate, then Atlas must have been less hackish back then.

I am sure that if you were to go back to the 2010 Arkansas Senate race threads, you'd find a few posters delusional enough to think Blanche had a chance.

For example: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=125194.75
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cinyc
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Posts: 12,720


« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2018, 01:23:17 AM »

Here's how Heitkamp got blanched, in glorious Atlas colors. The results were slapped together as of last night and may be a bit rough - I still need to proof the precinct matching.



An interactive version of this map in non-Atlas colors (sad!) is here:
Mobile: https://www.thecinyc.com/nd-sen-ge-2018
Desktop: https://www.thecinyc.com/2018-nd-senate-ge

Let me know if you see any obvious errors.
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