Hmmm... so he's back in good shape on the Plains. But if Evangelicals have fully come home, what is happening to Texas?
Well considering that Romney won Kansas by 21, I'm not sure if 11 counts as "good shape"...
However Trump has been generally weak in this state for whatever reason and I think he's been in low double digits here from the start.
538's Kansas average is influenced by (likely) bad Google Consumer Surveys polls that show Clinton with a double-digit lead in the state. The reason the polls are likely bad is because a good number of IP addresses with no known US location are currently geolocated to the middle of a lake west of Wichita. People from those IP addresses don't live in Kansas, but are being likely being polled by GCS as such - at least in their national surveys.
