Democratic Guam Caucus results thread (8pm Fri - 6am Sat ET) (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 12:42:33 PM
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  Democratic Guam Caucus results thread (8pm Fri - 6am Sat ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Guam Caucus results thread (8pm Fri - 6am Sat ET)  (Read 4141 times)
cinyc
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« on: May 06, 2016, 03:34:41 PM »
« edited: May 06, 2016, 03:56:19 PM by cinyc »

I think this could be another win for Bernie. Lots of young voters there (median age: 29.9).

I'd be very surprised. Every other island territory has gone to Clinton for a reason. There's not many Democratic party members (it's a closed caucus) and like 500 people total will attend, max. Not many of *them* will be young. Guam, like most of these island territories, is also overwhelmingly black.

Guam is not overwhelmingly black.  The two largest racial groups are Pacific Islander (mainly Chamorro) and Asian (largely Filipino).  

It will go to Clinton, though.  I think they are directly electing 7 delegates, and while 10 potential candidates have pledged support to Clinton, only 5 have pledged support to Sanders.  More from the Guam Pacific Daily News here.

To answer the question in the original post, the correct term is Guamanian.
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: May 06, 2016, 03:42:09 PM »

Where the Guamanians live on the island of Guam, by town, 2010.  From the U.S. Census Bureau:

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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: May 06, 2016, 03:44:30 PM »

Never realized how far away from the US was... I wonder, does anyone know if it's an Australia protected place or if the US still has full military defense of the island?

Guam is a very strategically located U.S. territory, protected by the U.S. military.  There are Air Force and Naval bases on the island.
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2016, 05:28:58 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2016, 05:32:54 PM by cinyc »

Does anybody know if Hillary or Bernie has campaigned in Guam?

Chelsea Clinton "wrote" an op-ed for the territory's newspaper, telling voters to vote for her mom.  The newspaper also ran an op-ed from a Guamanian Bernie supporter in the past few days.

Sanders and the political director for Hillary Clinton's campaign were interviewed by Guam's NBC affiliate, KUAM, this week.

Here is the sample Guam Democratic caucus ballot.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: May 06, 2016, 06:20:46 PM »


The problem with that is that it mischaracterizes the roughly 63% of Guam's population that isn't Chamorro.

I found Census' race files for Guam (stats for all the territories but Puerto Rico are pretty well hidden on Census' website).  As of 2010, Guam was:

49.3% Pacific Islander/Native Hawaiian
32.2% Asian
7.1% White
1.0% Black
0.8% Hispanic
0.3% Other Race/Ethnicity
9.4% Two or More Races
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: May 06, 2016, 09:53:31 PM »

Caucusing is going on now.  Here's a Clinton supporter at the caucus site:




Yes, the caucus is being held at the Agana Shopping Center mall.
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cinyc
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« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2016, 12:34:53 PM »

Wasn't Guam directly electing delegates, too?  Which matters for the Democrats, then?  Who won the beauty contest vote or which delegates won the most votes?
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: May 07, 2016, 12:49:41 PM »

Wasn't Guam directly electing delegates, too?  Which matters for the Democrats, then?  Who won the beauty contest vote or which delegates won the most votes?

As with all Democratic contests, the beauty contest is what matters.

So what happens if 7 Clinton-supporting delegates win the delegate contest?  Do 3 have to agree to support Sanders on the first ballot or not go to the convention?
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