If DeBlasio runs for Governor:
Democrats:
Gov. Andrew Cuomo/Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul: 39.9%
Mayor Bill DeBlasio/Police Commissioner William Bratton: 36.1%
Labor Activist Jonathan Tasini/Businessman Leo Hindery, Jr.: 23.5%
CEO Eva Moskowitz/Fmr. Assemblyman Micah Kellner: 8.4%
Others: 2.0
Republicans:
CEO Tom Allon/Fmr. Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly: 48.0%
Lawyer Christopher Nixon Cox/Rensselaer County Executive Kathleen Jimino: 33.3%
Businessman John Catsimidis/Fmr. CIA Officer Gary Berntsen: 16.6%
Other: 2.0%
General Election:
CEO Tom Allon/Fmr. NYPD Commissioner Raymond Kelly: 42.4%
Gov. Andrew Cuomo/Lt. Gov. Kathy Hochul: 27.9%
Mayor Bill DeBlasio/Police Commissioner William Bratton: 22.4%
CEO Tom Allon/Fmr. NYPD Commissioner Raymond Kelly: 4.8%
Attorney Carl Pearson/Publisher Sam Sloan: 1.9%(Libertarian)
Others: 0.4%
DeBlasio is a big threat to Cuomo for being popular with the base.
Unless the law is changed within the next few years, the Lt. Governor runs separately from the Governor in the primaries. So all of your potential primary matchups are incorrect.
Plus, everyone is forgetting that Congressman Chris Gibson is retiring in 2016, and probably will run for a statewide office in 2018 - probably governor, if Cuomo's approval ratings are low. If he runs for govenror, Gibson is likely to win the Republican primary and be the party's candidate.
Those of you who live in the "progresssive" bubble are also forgetting how hated de Blasio is, especially outside of New York City. He'd have no chance to win a statewide election. Upstate would reflexively vote against any New York City mayor for governor, let someone as despised Upstate as de Blasio. And Schneiderman has hurt himself by trying to ban fantasy football in the state.
Cuomo is running for reelection unless he gets named to a Clinton cabinet.
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