NY-11 (NY 1 News/Siena College): Grimm (R)+4

[cinyc]

NY 1 News/Capital New York/Siena College Research Institute poll of NY-11

Grimm (R) 44%
Recchia (D) 40%
Bardel (G) 4%
Undecided 12%

September 9-14, 2014; 585 likely voters; MoE +/- 4%

[cinyc]

The gubernatorial race is 60-28-3 Cuomo/Astorino/Hawkins.  There is little appetite for the Green party candidate in most of NYC.

Crosstabs here.

[cinyc]

Dear god. How is Recchia blowing this so badly? this should be an easy seat. I'd either be a Recchia or Bardel voter.

He's not a good fit for the district.  Recchia is from Brooklyn, not Staten Island, and is too liberal for the district.

[cinyc]

This is Siena we're talking about. Their congressional polls have an awful track record.

According to Politico, internal polling from both sides says the same thing - Grimm has a slight lead.

[cinyc]

Politico isn't a reliable news source.

Yeah, I'm sure Politico is lying about internals.  Because the candidates couldn't raise a stink about bad reporting and just release their internals to prove them wrong.  They'd just let a false narrative lie.

What is a reliable news source to you?  Daily Kos?

[cinyc]

This poll has 27% of Democrats voting for Grimm...LOL

And just looked at the crosstabs. It has 41% of Democrats backing the repeal of Obamacare. HAHAHAHAHA. Staten Island might be eccentric, but it's not West Virginia. This poll is pure horse manure.

Staten Island has plenty of DINOs who only register as Democrats to have a voice in citywide and statewide primary elections and older people who simply haven't changed their registration as Democrats strayed farther and farther to the left.  It is not the Upper West Side.

And, as I said, BOTH candidates' internal polling agrees with this poll.