NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) (user search)
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Poll
Question: Who won the 2010 election?
#1
Republicans
 
#2
Democrats
 
#3
Neither Party
 
#4
Both Parties
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)  (Read 160937 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2010, 07:40:03 PM »

Fox: Grayson goes down in flames in FL-08
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cinyc
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« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2010, 07:43:18 PM »

IN-02 is closing, too.
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cinyc
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« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2010, 07:45:20 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2010, 07:46:56 PM by cinyc »

My spreadsheet's first auto call - Ds hold KY-03.
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cinyc
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« Reply #28 on: November 02, 2010, 07:49:17 PM »

Dems are really barely holding on KY-06 and IN-02.

MO-04 is close, too (D+0.1) but very little is in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #29 on: November 02, 2010, 07:56:29 PM »

Heh, Coons winning New Castle 2-1, O'Donnell winning Sussex 60-38.

Typical.  Kent's not in yet.  It will probably be closer to Sussex than New Castle, but less than 60-38.
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cinyc
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« Reply #30 on: November 02, 2010, 07:59:18 PM »

Dashboard update:




Frank is crushing Bielat in MA-04.
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cinyc
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« Reply #31 on: November 02, 2010, 08:04:16 PM »


That's awfully specific of them.  
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cinyc
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« Reply #32 on: November 02, 2010, 08:06:00 PM »

Dems are up by 2 in IN-02.  Movement has been in that direction.  KY-06 is still razor-thin close: D+0.3 with 93% in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #33 on: November 02, 2010, 08:08:36 PM »

Pingree and Michaud are ahead at the moment. Take that, Critical Insights!

With less than 5% in, though.  Critical Insights might get theirs later, but not right now.
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cinyc
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« Reply #34 on: November 02, 2010, 08:12:48 PM »


Some guy named Hill.  It's only one county, though - and probably a typo.
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cinyc
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« Reply #35 on: November 02, 2010, 08:14:56 PM »

Fox News projects Republicans win the House.  Their models say that Republicans will win 60 House Seats.
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cinyc
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« Reply #36 on: November 02, 2010, 08:15:48 PM »

The contrast between the Senate and House results so far is rather striking. Moderate Republican gains in the Senate, wave victory in the House.

Less of the Senate is up than the House.  Project the Senate gains to 100 seats, and you'd probably be about even.
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cinyc
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« Reply #37 on: November 02, 2010, 08:20:10 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2010, 08:22:09 PM by cinyc »

The margin in KY-06 is down to D+0.2.... Now D+0.1...
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cinyc
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« Reply #38 on: November 02, 2010, 08:23:01 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb and call MA-04 for Frank now.
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cinyc
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« Reply #39 on: November 02, 2010, 08:27:32 PM »

Hill is back down to "normal," in NE-3.

More votes in.  May not be a typo, though.  It's with 0% in.  Could be absentees.
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cinyc
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« Reply #40 on: November 02, 2010, 08:31:39 PM »

Updated Dashboard:


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cinyc
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« Reply #41 on: November 02, 2010, 08:33:44 PM »

Closest:

KY-06
VA-11
ND-AL
NJ-06
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cinyc
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« Reply #42 on: November 02, 2010, 08:37:57 PM »

Duffy (R) is up by 20 in WI-07 with 1% in.   Won't hold, but whatever.
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cinyc
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« Reply #43 on: November 02, 2010, 08:42:05 PM »

Dem should win IN-02.  Up by 1.4 with 99% in.  It's over.
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cinyc
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« Reply #44 on: November 02, 2010, 08:51:49 PM »

FWIW, I had Republicans leading in 57 House seats of Sam's 139 in the last run about 10 minutes ago.  I'll post another dashboard update soon.  Data's not in in all seats, natch.
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cinyc
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« Reply #45 on: November 02, 2010, 08:59:03 PM »

Updated Dashboard:




Now, R+56 in the seats in so far.
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cinyc
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« Reply #46 on: November 02, 2010, 09:02:04 PM »

Lincoln county only one still out in KY-6. Chandler up by less that 1000.

Lincoln County is Republican-leaning statewide (slight), with 16,000 RVs.  It should tighten a bit - but I don't know if there will be enough votes to make up the 900 or so gap.

Nailbiter.
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cinyc
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« Reply #47 on: November 02, 2010, 09:27:23 PM »

Philly:

94.61% reporting
Sestak 340k (83.74%)
Toomey 65.9k (16.2%)
Total = 406k

Est total will be over 429k!

Side note:
Casey pulled 424k at an 84+% clip.

A good clip of Lancaster County is still out, among other places
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cinyc
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« Reply #48 on: November 02, 2010, 09:29:34 PM »

KY-06 is all in, Chandler by 600 votes exactly.

I'm guessing there will be a recount.
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cinyc
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« Reply #49 on: November 02, 2010, 09:33:26 PM »

It looks to me that Toomey probably has it. The GOP bastions have not been heard from yet nearly as much as Philly (Lancaster is only about a third in for example) which has largely shot its wad. The margins for Sestak in the Philly burbs are narrow. But that is just a quick and dirty look at it all. Sestak is doing very poorly in Western PA, just terrible.

I concur.  Toomey was also leading in 3 of the 4 PVI bellwether counties last I checked (Bucks, Luzerne, Northampton, Monroe).
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