MA: Poll: Bellwether town of Waltham prefers Gov. Patrick (D) (user search)
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  MA: Poll: Bellwether town of Waltham prefers Gov. Patrick (D) (search mode)
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Author Topic: MA: Poll: Bellwether town of Waltham prefers Gov. Patrick (D)  (Read 1118 times)
cinyc
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« on: November 04, 2010, 01:39:24 AM »

What is the point of polling a bellwether town? I can see looking at its actual results when early results from the rest of the state may be disproportionately from one party's base region or another, but it's not like a poll is going to be a more reliable indicator than a poll of the whole state with the same margin of error.

I like Suffolk's bellwether polls.  It serves as a check on normal statewide polling.  And often, Suffolk will poll more than one bellwether town.  The bellwethers, taken in the aggregate, are rarely wrong.  When the dust settles, I will update my Senate PVI bellwether post to see how well the bellwethers worked.  In the close races I watched, they didn't fail.  Toomey took 3 of the 4 PA bellwethers; Kirk took Rock Island; Bennet won the 3 CO bellwethers, and Murray leads all 4 WA bellwethers - and the state.

Suffolk was right on the money calling Waltham a bellwether.  Their CT bellwether polling was a bit off compared to actual results - perhaps due to bellwether selection.
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