Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,605
Political Matrix E: 0.39, S: -1.57
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« on: February 24, 2021, 06:13:43 PM » |
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!!!TOSSUPS INCLUDED!!!2022 Ratings:Governor:- Moved Texas from likely to lean after the power crisis; also due to potential for democrats to strongly overperform Lupe Valdez.
- Moved South Dakota from lean to likely due to incumbency factor, but Noem's covid response and connections to Trump could make her slightly vulnerable.
- Georgia is lean due to Abrams being favored over just about any republican nominee; but in this case, I'm assuming Kemp remains the republican nominee.
Senate:- Blunt seems to always win by a margin of less than 15%, and Missouri can be full of surprises sometimes, so I'm rating it as likely out of caution.
2024 Presidential Rating:- If I'm not confident in rating it one way or another, then it's a tossup. Simple as that.
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