Atlas: Underestimating Pat Toomey since 2004.
Dems did great in Pa in 2018, Toomey wasn't on Ballot, but Toomey GOPers lost badly in 2018. Sestak would have beaten Toomey, not McGinty
Remember this whole meme started in 2004 with people saying that Toomey wouldn't come close to beating Specter. He got 49% in the primary
Leading up to 2010, they said he wouldn't be the nominee once Specter jumped ship because someone else would declare, they didn't.
They said for years leading up to 2010 that Toomey was too Conservative for PA, that he was more conservative than Santorum (and he lost by 17%) and didn't have any connection to SE PA. He won and got two of the four major Philly burbs counties.
Then it was he can never win in a Presidential year.... He did!
At every stage since 2004 the left and establishment GOP underestimated Pat Toomey because of a combination of wishful thinking, bias and a poor understanding of PA's political and socio-cultural inclinations. The same piss poor reading of PA led to them getting blindsided by Trump in 2016. I was not for the record, though I did think Clinton would win it in the end I also knew that Trump would beat expectations because 1) Trade Protectionism, 2) His NE strength and 3) The Supreme Court issue keeping traditional Republicans in line.
I see everyone of those habits being repeated and yet if Trump loses in 2020, I would say Toomey is favored to win reelection in 2022 if he runs.
