Was it common for Democrats to vote Ford in 1976? (user search)
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  Was it common for Democrats to vote Ford in 1976? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Was it common for Democrats to vote Ford in 1976?  (Read 5098 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« on: July 07, 2018, 05:29:44 AM »

He won a large percentage of the black vote (17%) which a Republican has not done since.
Ford refused to use dog whistles, and I'm not aware of any racial issues being salient in 1976. I wonder how much of the black vote Nixon got in 1960.

Eisenhower in 1956 received the modern high for Republicans for the black vote with 36%
https://cupola.gettysburg.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?referer=https://www.google.ca/&httpsredir=1&article=1295&context=student_scholarship

The Republicans by not making a firm choice in that election basically let the choice be made for them by events.

It illustrated the necessity for big city Dems to embrace civil rights to keep their machines in power. Northern Democrats became less timid and with Democrats in control on the hill, it meant that the Democrats would be the ones in the driver's seat the next time the won the Presidency.

That is exactly what ended up happening in the 1960's. Disappointed with the black vote result in 1956 (which was ironically partially due to Republican foot dragging) led to a feedback loop where Republicans would put in less effort each time and use that to justify even less the next time. Meanwhile the South kept trending Republican, so in the 1960's the Republican strategy was geared towards getting the middle class Southern whites to solidify as Republicans and poorer Southern whites to default to the Republicans as the "less pro-civil Rights party".

Leaving the more direct 1964 approach aside, in the late 1960's, there was a general desire on the part of Republicans to increase black voting, not because they were necessarily eager to right this century old wrong, but to basically inject Democratic primaries with majority black voting demographics and thus scare the racist whites into becoming Republicans, nor less than Kevin Phillips himself advocated this approach. A similar impetus was likely the motivating factor behind the more aggressive implementation of the VRA in redistricting in the early 1990's, because that would further polarize southern politics based on race.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: July 07, 2018, 03:55:42 PM »

Yes, the parties did not really become all that divided on social issues until after the Roe V Wade ruling, and even then it took a number of years.  There was once a thing known as 'Planned Parenthood Republicans.'  (George H W Bush was a supporter for a while.)

https://www.marieclaire.com/politics/news/a16149/planned-parenthood-republicans/

I believe Jimmy Carter was actually more anti abortion than Gerald Ford was.

Not only was there a liberal Republican wing especially in the northeast (Senator Jacob Javits for instance, even Spiro Agnew was known as a fairly liberal Republican until he remade himself into a joke as Nixon's attack dog) but there is some argument that Reagan lost the nomination to Ford at the convention by trying to court liberal Republicans with his Vice Presidential selection.  There is so much revisionist history with Reagan and subsequent Republicans designed to put conservatives in a better light, that I don't know how true that argument actually is.


It played a role in the defection of the Mississippi delegation. Reagan had promised to pick Senator Richard Schweiker (R-PA) as his Vice Presidential candidate, but this alienated many Southerners because he was regarded as a "liberal" Republican, who ironically was also "pro-gun" and there is actually a point in the news coverage in 1968 where NBC credits "gun clubs" with Schweiker's Senate victory. What most likely pissed off the South was his position on the war and his vote against Nixon two failed Supreme Court Nominees:

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2018, 08:13:58 PM »

A clear majority of suburban whites in the South voted for Ford, and many of them still identified as Democrats at the time.

I thought the suburbs were really the only Republican parts of the south before the 1980s

It takes a long time for identification to catch up to voting patterns and even longer for registration. I read in a textbook back when I was in Middle School. That NC had 90% Dem registration in 1960 (voted 52-47 for JFK), 80% in 1968 (Voted for Nixon) and 70% or so in the 1980's. At that time (mid 2000s) Democrats still had about 50% of registered voters and NC had not voted Dem since 1976.

A lot of people tend to keep their same registration without ever changing it. So the numbers really only shift because of generational displacement and the fact that Southern Baby Boomers were much more Republican.
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