Was the civil war map already expected in the early 2000?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I don't consider 2000's to be a Civil War map. The main reason being that the Western territories were mostly all part of the union. I would also point out that WV being Democrat doesn't make it less of a Civil War, since WV was unionist.

Also 2000 marked the time the GOP started making gains in unionist or perhaps better yet, less pro-Confederacy areas. Appalachia was largely unionist, those counties within the various states often had the lowest support for secession.

So to the extent that the map took on a partial resemblance to the Civil War, has to be taken in the context that such was already in the process of degrading.

That is why I like to compare the shifting map to plate movement on the Earth surface (just as I like to compare the parties to evolutionary biology).