Is Connecticut the next Kansas? (user search)
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  Is Connecticut the next Kansas? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Connecticut the next Kansas?  (Read 1508 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: December 27, 2017, 12:23:13 AM »

What I mean is this:

The Democrats like the, Republicans in Kansas in 2014, will severely underperform in the next midterm election, but are saved by the national environment.

The state continues to detoriate with Democrats continuing to be blamed.

The state then proceeds to actually swing (or at least trend) towards the GOP in 2020, perhaps being one of the few to do so (like Kansas in 2016).

Then when the Next Democratic president is in office, the Democrats become at risk of having some embarrassing losses. Like in Kansas they would be at risk of losing the Governors office and potentially losing one of the congressional districts.

I know that Malloy isn't running for re-election like Brownback did, but could something like this still happen?

That already happened in 2014, complete with Tom Foley failing to clinch it.

Okay fair point.

Now the question is, can it get severely worse for democrats?

As in could the governor office eventually flip. Can republicans win one of the congressional districts (like the 5th one)?

It is not a complete guarantee, but CT-5 is one of a handful of seats that could be made more Republican (along with MD-06), if the Supreme Court rules a certain way. The Democrats gerrymandered it just enough to prevent it from flipping last time it was open. Of course the national environment would likely protect it until a Dem midterm, regardless.
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