Is there a GOP path without Florida? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 29, 2024, 03:23:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Is there a GOP path without Florida? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Is there a GOP path without Florida?  (Read 2252 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


« on: November 18, 2017, 10:07:15 PM »

The states are all independent of each other. There is no uniform swing, and so the "If X goes GOP (or Dem), then Y must as well" is total BS.

And also it should be noted that each election brings new changes to the map. Trump was the First Republican to win without VA since Calvin Coolidge and without Colorado since William Howard Taft in 1908. Obama was the first Democrat to win without winning any Deep South States (Though Truman did lose many of them to Thurmond), ever. George W. Bush was the first Republican to win without Illinois if memory serves me.

Also as a note to those who made the connection between former Midwest voters swinging Florida, one needs to keep in mind that these voters could still vote Republican and Trump could lose Florida through increasing population in other areas, especially with the Puerto Rico situation.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 13 queries.