I'd say this election is most comparable to 1960 (user search)
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  I'd say this election is most comparable to 1960 (search mode)
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Author Topic: I'd say this election is most comparable to 1960  (Read 1660 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: November 16, 2016, 10:03:56 AM »

The analogy of 2000 is much better than 1960. The JFK/Trump comparison does not fit very well. The only things they have in common is their interest in lots of women and the status of a billionaire. Thus JFK won the PV, though very narrowly.

I seem to recall a situation involving Alabama's votes putting the nationwide PV vote in doubt. Basically votes were counted for Kennedy that should have gone to an indy Dem slate or something like that.

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2016, 10:18:42 AM »


Intell is right, thought. In terms of style and generalized "populism", perhaps. But the simple fact of the matter is that Industrial populism is far different from agrarian populism and Trump is a Northern candidate through and through both in terms of his background as a NY Developer and also the location of the votes he brought in to make his electoral coalition a majority (rust belt North).

McKinley is if an anything a mirror image of Trump, reflecting the fact that we are now post-industrial. McKinley exemplifies how for a century the GOP would win its middle/upscale base in the North and then augment that by winning enough working class votes on ding ding ding Protectionism to sweep all the Northern states and overcome the Solid South.

Trump is inverse in the sense that he utilized Trade to formulate his base among working class voters and then won just enough of the middle/upscale (what we call college educated whites) to win those states and make it work.

Another reason why Trump is the inverse of McKinley is that McKinley represented the transition from pro-business nationalist economics of the American System (Hamilton, Clay, Lincoln etc) within the GOP to the pro-Business Laissez-Faire economics the 20th century GOP that would eventually move away from protectionism entirely and embrace Free Trade wholesale ninety years later (1980). If Trump succeeds as President, he will begin the reversal of that transition and set us on a course for a Midwest centered GOP dominated by a 21st century revival of nationalist economics.

This means that Trump is also a reverse Ronald Reagan. Reagan probably provides Trump's best model for FP, but on economics/Trade/Immigration, Trump is undoing the Reagan Revolution as far as the GOP is concerned.

The Steve Bannon pick likely means that Trump is conscious of this potential transformation of the Republican Party and his presence, increases its likelihood substantially. Democrats are wise to be up in arms over this, because this transformation would dictate a likewise realignment of the Democratic Party in a direction many on the left will find uncomfortable. 
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