PA-SEN 2016: McCord not running (user search)
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  PA-SEN 2016: McCord not running (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-SEN 2016: McCord not running  (Read 4762 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: November 17, 2014, 12:25:33 AM »

Schwartz could not win a primary against Sestak.

Things could never be so great as for us to be able to go in with Toomey versus Schwartz. A dream of Keystone Phil's if I am not mistaken by the way.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2014, 12:39:45 AM »

I agree with you. I don't think she could win a primary versus Sestak. I was just throwing out other names.

The problem is her base is split. She would win Phill and Montco, but Sestak takes Delco and Chester, and the rest of the state would overwhelming back the Admiral over Schwartz.

On the flip side in the General, Schwartz would ensure almost no risk at all of losing votes out west, in NE or SW PA and even some potential for gain for Toomey (like Erie which likes moderate Republicans and Toomey's bipartisan work could change minds versus 2010). The entire race would come down to Lehigh Valley (where Toomey is based out of it) and Bucks where the GOP has been improving over the last several elections (from matching the state to about four points more Republican than the state).
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