I think there's still a long ways to go. Akin is favored, but I think Steelman could still certainly win, looking at outstanding counties. There seems to be no pattern in this map, though.
That is Steelman's biggest problem, though. She really needed to dominate a particular region of the state. She will win many counties, but by small margins in places that would produce small margins anyway based on their size. Meanwhile, Akin has St. Lo. Granted Brunner is taking some of that pie, it isn't enough to seriously cause problems for Akin.