Should we shift this seat from Tossup to Likely Democratic, or Likely Democratic to Democratic Favored? Steelman is a weak candidate who couldn't even win her party's nomination for Governor in 2008, Ed Martin is a crazy teabagger, and I've never even heard of Ann Wagner. Graves could give McCaskill a run, but as someone said on here, elections are historically close in Missouri, but I think Claire will have the edge now with Jim Talent out of the way.
Ah, didn't Claire McCasikil lose a primary for Governor in 2004?
My view of 2008 was that Steelman did far better then she should have. Whether that was because of anything special about her, or due to Hulshuf sucking so bad, is another matter.