The numbers of Hispanics there might not give an accurate picture of exactly how Hispanic the electorate, since there are quite few undocumented immigrants and otherwise unregistered Hispanic voters, so I would say the electorate might actually be a little less Hispanic. Costa won this district in 2004 with 53%, so it is a bit marginal, but the Democratic margins in Fresno and Bakersfield give Democrats the edge. The Republican numbers are in Kings County.
I wonder who Kyle Mercado of Bakersfield, California will vote for.
Probably the Republican. He has been pushing these districts as competative going back a year.