An incumbent below 50, is vulnerable, an incumbent below his opponent is in deep sh**t. The district vote for McCain narrowly and 2010 will be a better year then 2008, a year in which our candidate was horrible. I think we will regain this seat.
Many people probably still think Pearce is the incumbent. If he was so strong, he would be leading by 10+ points like Chabot in OH-01.
Not necessarily. Yes that may exist in some areas but I don't think that is driver force behind Chabot's numbers in OH-01.
