Will the abortion referendum pass in Florida?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

It needs 60% of the vote to win and I feel like that is a heavy lift. It will absolutely get 50%, and likely get 55%, but getting those last few % seems very difficult. It got 56.7 in Michigan, is Florida significantly more pro choice?

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Florida is probably one of the most pro-chocie southern state, but the Northern 30% of the state is solidly southern, and essentially no different than southern Alabama or Georgia. It isn't until you get to Orlando on the east, and The Villages on the west, when you are no longer culturally in the south. I think that will probably be enough to prevent an Ohio/Michigan type of referendum to get to 60%.