Suburban counties that are bluer than their core anchors? (user search)
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June 06, 2024, 04:09:23 PM
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  Suburban counties that are bluer than their core anchors? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Suburban counties that are bluer than their core anchors?  (Read 1876 times)
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,985


« on: August 04, 2023, 12:11:57 AM »

The only ones I can think of right now is Palm Beach and Broward being bluer than the larger and main Miami-Dade county. Summit county is bluer than Salt Lake county as well. In the Atlanta area DeKalb is more bluer than the main Fulton county due to the higher black population.

Fort Bend will probably be bluer than Harris soon as well.
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,985


« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2023, 02:10:45 PM »

Ramsey County is slightly bluer than Hennepin County.

Wyandotte County, KS is bluer than Jackson County, MO.


Wyandotte IMO is the core anchor in Kansas as it contains Kansas City KS, and Johnson county is the suburb. Although Johnson is rapidly trending blue and very well could get as blue as Jackson MO, and possibly even Wyandotte.
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Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,985


« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2023, 10:42:49 PM »

Anyway here's a legitimate answer: Until the 2020 Election Osceola County FL voted Democratic at a higher percentage than Orange. And this is of course cause Orange has many more moving parts and demographic cleavages than Osceola, and getting them all to move in one direction is harder than in Osceola where a majority of voters are Hispanic and most of those Puerto Rican. And it was more Democratic cause of those internal migrants buying up comparatively cheap homes during the housing crisis. Of course in 2020 this reversed for the same reasons above: both experienced the same trends in voter behavior, but Orange has other non-Hispanic groups that behaved differently.

I wonder if the St Cloud area (the whitest are most R part of Osceola County) could become heavily minority, and make Osceola vote to the left of Orange again.

Long term though, I see more upside for Dems in Orange than Osceola just due to shifting coalitions.
Seminole trends are really bad for Rs, and I could see it voting to the left of Osceola soon as well.
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