Mini Tuesday results thread

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1237439759577944064

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https://twitter.com/djjohnso/status/1237382966843670529?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctw...
This guy predicted Bernie 2016 in MI, Trump 2016 in MI, and Whitmer 2018.
I don't know if this is just BS and he was lucky, or if he has magic powers, but still interesting.

It's probably luck considering he's using a sample size of 25 for his prediction.

He also missed the margin badly on Whitmer's win.

[n1240]

No Michigan returns tonight:

https://twitter.com/polarbarrett/status/1237484280734838784?s=21

You can thank the Michigan State Legislature for that.

https://twitter.com/JasonBa17205509/status/1237485607426953217

I suspected no full results, seems to be the case? the tweet you posted is a little vague on that

[n1240]

Does Sanders hit 15%?

https://twitter.com/geoffrbennett/status/1237489992282320896?s=21

Gonna guess this lines up closely to the final vote.

[n1240]

Are we getting more needles tonight?

no

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1237106214191988737?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%...

[n1240]

Sanders up 9% in Washtenaw currently

[n1240]

So could Biden sweep every county in Michigan at this rate?

[n1240]

Monmouth's Michigan poll looking really good.

Margin might tick up a few points since I'm assuming the Wayne results are missing a lot of Detroit which would help Biden a bit, but they did well in a race where it seemed like everyone was throwing darts

[n1240]

With Sanders winning Grand Forks in North Dakota, it looks nearly certain that he'll win.

[n1240]

With Sanders winning Grand Forks in North Dakota, it looks nearly certain that he'll win.

Maybe not done yet? Fargo probably has around 5k votes, a 634 vote lead seems pretty surmountable

[n1240]

Despite Sanders losing every county in Michigan, he nearly won MI-12, but Biden edged him out by 20 votes (maybe it could change on provisionals or something?)

[n1240]

And in other news, with two-thirds of the vote counted in Washington, Sanders lead is down to two thousand votes or 0.2%

Washington hasn't updated any new results in four hours, nothing new until 4 pm PDT

[n1240]

And in other news, with two-thirds of the vote counted in Washington, Sanders lead is down to two thousand votes or 0.2%

Washington hasn't updated any new results in four hours, nothing new until 4 pm PDT

Washington State isn't going to update vote count until the end of business tomorrow? Meaning like dinner time for most of us out east? WTF? What do they plan on doing all day tomorrow? Giving the Electoral staff a lie in?

Seems they have a set schedule (or at least counties do) on reporting results, most of the vote is already reported, seems we're waiting on a remaining 1/6 or so. Turns out one county reports slightly earlier, but it's pretty small. Big counties like King, Pierce, and Snohomish reporting from 4-5 pm PDT

https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/Turnout.html

[n1240]

Sanders dominates Fargo caucus, looks like he wins North Dakota by 14% overall.

[n1240]

How much vote is left in ND and WA?

Washington I think 500 to 700 thousand.  I believe officials said final turnout would be 1.7 million.

That estimate is probably total vote, not Dem primary vote. SOS currently reports 300k remaining  but not accounting for late arriving ballots postmarked before election day. Probably no more than 400k ballots remaining, translates to 260k or so dem ballots.

[n1240]

When does Washington finish counting? I assume, if the only vote left is same day votes, that Biden will take the state

Seems like counties generally plan to certify by Mar 20, might have a good chunk of the election day drop offs in a few days.

[n1240]

There has been some new results from Washington.

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1237832001799028736

Not sure if these are real, the SOS nor any county websites have any new results.

[n1240]

There has been some new results from Washington.

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1237832001799028736

Not sure if these are real, the SOS nor any county websites have any new results.

Yeah, they reverted back to the SOS total and what all the major networks are reporting.

[n1240]

There has been some new results from Washington.

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1237832001799028736

Not sure if these are real, the SOS nor any county websites have any new results.

Yeah, they reverted back to the SOS total and what all the major networks are reporting.

It's not time for counties to update yet. King County updates at 4:30 PT.

I know, which is why the King 5 website which was showing 300k new votes with Biden up about 4% seemed off to me.

[n1240]

Biden takes the lead in Washington after King County dump.

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Biden takes the lead in Washington after King County dump.

Where are you seeing this.
Please post your link.
The Sec of State's Office in Washington shows no change.

Clear your cookies? I see it on the SOS site



https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20200310/President-Democratic-Party.html

[n1240]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1237880151167254528

Couple other new counties:

Jefferson from Sanders 34.0%-32.4% to Biden 52.8%-37.5% on new returns
Pierce from Biden 35.9%-31.9% to Biden 52.8%-41.8% on new returns

[n1240]

Biden has won WA.

He’s ahead by 30.000 votes and there are just 120.000 left in the D race.

Bernie would need to win the remaining votes by a 25% margin to make up the gap ...

What is your source on 120k left in D race? I'd estimate closer to 180k, but regardless it's a bit hard for him to make up the margin.

[n1240]

While Washington probably won't finish counting tomorrow, it's likely they'll count enough tomorrow to the point that it'll be mathematically impossible for Sanders to overcome Biden's lead on the outstanding ballots.