CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (user search)
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  CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%  (Read 4176 times)
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« on: July 25, 2016, 12:16:04 PM »
Quote from: Seriously? on July 25, 2016, 09:36:09 AM
Quote from: nm825 on July 25, 2016, 07:14:13 AM
But you guys told me the RNC was a disaster and Trump would get a nega-bounce!
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Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,226
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 02:00:16 PM »
Quote from: Seriously? on July 25, 2016, 01:55:15 PM
Quote from: Spooky Mike on July 25, 2016, 01:52:15 PM
But That's it? Only 3 point bounce? I honestly expected it to be like a 7 point bounce.
The aggregate is still pending, but I believe this CNN poll specifically shows a 10-point bounce.

The 7/13-16 CNN/ORC poll was Clinton +7.

     Base rates are important here. It's not like Clinton and Trump were tied before the convention.
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