JJ you don't think Obama has a better GOTV operation in critical states than Mccain? I think that in itself gives him a 1-2 point advantage which is of course taken away by the bradley effect. Thus if the polls say the race is tied before the election, the result will be extremely close( 2000 style).
With the energized GOP....our GOTV will be huge too.
I am talking about the organization of it. In 2004 the churches pushed Bush big time and did a lot of the organizational stuff for him and that got him those huge margins in SW ohio. Will it happen again this year? Palin is the x factor. Anyways Obama has proved he is a much better at GOTV than other candidates and will probably be better than Kerry.
I dont think Obama has proved that at all. Not saying he hasnt - he proved it Iowa I guess and that he can win caucuses. I wouldnt bank on what happened in one state on one night.