Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[AngryBudgie]

Just as I said in another thread, Trump's baseline is -10. Sometimes he goes above that and sometimes below that, but its always a safe bet that he'll eventually return to -10. Its been like this since May of 2018 and I see no reason why its gonna change in the furture.

[AngryBudgie]

NBC/WSJ, Sep. 13-16, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 33 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Lots of interesting issue questions in this poll.  Also, a question they ask about the President occasionally (last time was Oct. 2018):

Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump?

Like personally and approve of most policies 25
Like personally but disapprove of many policies 4
Don't like personally, approve of most policies 19
Don't like personally, disapprove of many policies 50

From the writeup of the poll:

Just 29 percent say they like Trump personally, with 25 percent saying they also approve of his policy agenda and 4 percent saying they disapprove.

On this measure, the high degree of personal dislike for Trump differentiates him from his five most recent predecessors. Majorities of voters said they personally liked Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan, even though they might disagree vigorously with their political agenda.

In fact, prior to Trump’s presidency, the highest share of voters saying they disliked the president personally — regardless of their views on his policies — was 42 percent for George W. Bush in March 2006, after Hurricane Katrina.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-record-share-voters-dislike-trump-personally-democrats-n1057036

This possibly explains why Trump usually polls below his approval numbers in GE matchups.

The semi deplorables are lining up behind the Orange Clown again now that he hasn't said anything racist/retarded for a week.

I wouldnt think too hard about a few point flucuations. Seems par for the course. Sometimes Trump's numbers go up, sometimes they goes down, but they always seem to revert back.

[AngryBudgie]

The impeachment/Ukraine thing appears to be HELPING Trump!

Trump's average approval rating is up almost 1% from yesterday.

I dont mean to be rude but your on a polling website, maybe try to think alittle harder...

Two new polls have been added to the RCP average, a Rasmussen +8(lol) and the Emerson +1. The Emerson poll has its own issues, but its still a data point so whatever. The Rasmussen +8 however is seriously helping to inflate the aggregate.

This isnt because of Ukraine and its foolish to think otherwise.

[AngryBudgie]

NPR/Marist, Sep. 25, 864 adults (2-week change)

Approve 44 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 31 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-6)

In some polls there’s was no change but in others, it’s as if Trump started getting better at his job. What gives?

Im gonna say this again for the umpteenth time, Trump's baseline is around -10. Sometimes he goes above that, sometimes below that. But it always returns back to the -10 range. Mid August to early September had some of Trump's worst polling in a while. Now its returning to the baseline. That being said, the worst news for Trump has been since the 25th. We should wait for polling next week and beyond to see the impact.