Data For Progress: Sanders +2 in NC, Sanders +9 in TX (user search)
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  Data For Progress: Sanders +2 in NC, Sanders +9 in TX (search mode)
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Author Topic: Data For Progress: Sanders +2 in NC, Sanders +9 in TX  (Read 5648 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,212
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: March 01, 2020, 01:45:23 AM »

Sanders can theoretically afford to do as bad (or at least close to it) as he did in the Confederacy: as long as he keeps the Southern periphery in check, it's fine (not to mention CA's effects). Clinton won TX 2:1 in 2016: even if Sanders loses slightly, it's really not a big deal, as he'll be taking 50+ delegates net away from a candidate like Biden. The only major contest where he's likely to get rat-f[inks]ked is FL.

Little known fact: Sanders won more delegates outside the Confederacy in 2016 than Clinton:

Non-Confederates:
Sanders   1448
Clinton   1432

Confederates:
Clinton   700
Sanders   332

This is why the other candidates need to stay in the race to deny Sanders the majority of the Non-Confederate delegates.
The Confederate delegates are already strongly Anti-Sanders.

Based on the South Carolina results, we can conclude with certainty that the undecided voters or late deciders are Anti-Sanders and that they will break for Biden. That means that Biden may even win Texas.
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