2016 Democratic Nomination Poll - December 2014 (user search)
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  2016 Democratic Nomination Poll - December 2014 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will the Democrats nominate?
#1
Hillary
 
#2
not Hillary
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 69

Author Topic: 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll - December 2014  (Read 1803 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,248
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: December 01, 2014, 09:20:28 PM »

Quote
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It's still too early to know what will happen.

Yes, Hillary led by around 20 points at this time in 2006. Now she leads by 40-50 points.

Your point?

My point is that it's nothing like 2008.

No election is the same.  But would you bet your house on Hilary winning the nomination?  I bet you wouldn't.

As for you KCDem, having seen your predictions, I would say that describes you pretty accurately.

That depends. Does the risk only kick in once she declares? Because there's still a small chance she doesn't run.

Oh, the chance she doesn't run is much bigger than you would admit.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,248
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: December 01, 2014, 10:06:18 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

It's still too early to know what will happen.

Yes, Hillary led by around 20 points at this time in 2006. Now she leads by 40-50 points.

Your point?

My point is that it's nothing like 2008.

No election is the same.  But would you bet your house on Hilary winning the nomination?  I bet you wouldn't.

As for you KCDem, having seen your predictions, I would say that describes you pretty accurately.

That depends. Does the risk only kick in once she declares? Because there's still a small chance she doesn't run.

Oh, the chance she doesn't run is much bigger than you would admit.

Based on what?

Too many speeches. Earning 200-300 thousand per speech.
Why would she trade that easy money for an uncertain presidential run?

And she's rusty. She has a lot of mileage. She is old and tired. She is gaffe prone and not disciplined.
I mean, she can run, but she would most likely implode along the way. She knows this and that's why I think she'll just decline to run.
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