latest Betfair odds

[Ljube]

Does anyone feel Bush isn't overpriced here?

I think it is about right. Bush still has lots of money, and may get his act together, and nobody else really is getting traction other than Carson (Trump isn't going to be the nominee), and the doubts about Carson, are that he is inept at policy prescriptions, and articulating them effectively, so the assumption at some point is that he will far by the wayside. Fiorina has shown that she can stumble, and stumble pretty badly, and Rubio still looks like a kid, and gets agitated under pressure. While some say the Pubs have an "embarrassment of riches" in their field, the truth of the matter is that all of the candidates have material flaws. Romney looks better and better to me. Fancy that!

Torie, you and I both know that Romney is an unelectable, out-of-touch, entitled, white elitist. Mormon bishop to boot.

Almost any 2016 candidate would perform better than Romney, Trump included.

[Ljube]

This is all most disgusting. Perhaps the answer is to conclude the the American Revolution was all a mistake, and merge back with the UK. The Parliamentary system, and of course the UK legal system, and their campaign finance laws, and length of campaigns, is far superior to the mess with which we have to cope in all events.

Tories would have a permanent majority then.

[Ljube]

IT'S HAPPENINGGGG

PredictIt:

Trump - 33%
Cruz - 31%
Rubio - 29%
Christie - 9%
Bush - 9%

IT'S HAPPENING!!!!!

[Ljube]

Wait what? Maybe I haven't been paying close enough attention lately but this feels like a massive surge that Trumps having right now. Does the birther stuff really justify Trump gaining exclusively at Cruz's expense.

I think it's not just the birther stuff, but Cruz losing ground in the Iowa polls.  Anyway, things are rather volatile at the moment, and I happened to post my update at the apex of Trump's spike.  More recent update:

Trump 33.9
Rubio 32.9
Cruz 23.6

It's the birther stuff. And Cruz is going one way - down.

[Ljube]

Now is a good time to bet on Trump.

He can't fall any lower, I guess,