Mathematically, Obama has 431 ways to win; Romney has 76; tied college 5 (user search)
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  Mathematically, Obama has 431 ways to win; Romney has 76; tied college 5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mathematically, Obama has 431 ways to win; Romney has 76; tied college 5  (Read 2331 times)
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,283
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« on: November 03, 2012, 05:37:12 PM »

True. But Romney still has a chance. I'm hoping and praying he succeeds.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,283
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2012, 05:59:50 PM »

Your disrespect for the religious is very apparent.

Let's be honest; prayer is fast approaching the only thing Republicans have left in this election.

Also: Obama is only leading in Florida sometimes (and usually with dubious polls at that), and I doubt it'll go democrat come Tuesday.

Okay, let's put Florida in Romney's column.  That leaves 176 paths to victory for Obama, and 75 for Romney.

Prayer won’t hurt.
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,283
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2012, 06:55:02 PM »

25-40%?  You wish!  Silver now has it at 16.3%.

16.3% is still decent.
Keep your spirits up!
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,283
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2012, 10:46:43 AM »

How many paths for each if we assume Nevada for Obama and North Carolina for Romney, leaving a remainder of seven swing states?

128 total: 103 for Obama, 24 for Romney, 1 tie.

Yes I see, found it after I posted that, appreciate your reply though..

So, that I think reflects the more 'realistic odds'.. maybe 75% or so chance of Obama victory..


Yes. Two coin flips.
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