Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[Mexican Wolf]

How much would Fetterman have won by without the stroke?

I'd say probably by 2% or 3% more.

[Mexican Wolf]

Pike County, PA (one of the fastest growing counties in the state) @ >95%

Oz leads 59-39, Trump won here 59-40 -- perhaps one of the few places where Fetterman may underperform Biden.

The Independent candidate for Governor was leading there for a short while on Politico; 'tis a strange place (I kid).

[Mexican Wolf]

Home to Lititz, PA where the stage-scaffolding for major concerts and the Super Bowl halftime shows are produced as well as being the home of one my best friends.

As well as the Wolf Sanctuary of PA if you ever wanna visit there.

[Mexican Wolf]

Home to Lititz, PA where the stage-scaffolding for major concerts and the Super Bowl halftime shows are produced as well as being the home of one my best friends.

As well as the Wolf Sanctuary of PA if you ever wanna visit.

Is that what they’re calling the Governor’s Residence now?

Touche.

[Mexican Wolf]

Disappointing but not surprising that Oz is overperforming in my home county, as that's one of the places where I expected his TV branding and relative moderateness compared to Mastriano would help him out.

[Mexican Wolf]

Hoping Frisch eventually pulls this off, even if it's by a IA-02 2020 margin in the end.

[Mexican Wolf]

Could the Dems also pick up the ever-critical Mine Inspector office?

[Mexican Wolf]

Could the Dems also pick up the ever-critical Mine Inspector office?

It was uncontested, so I'm guessing not.

So much for the potential non-Treasurer sweep for Dems. /s

[Mexican Wolf]

This is really starting to feel like a repeat of the 2018 Senate race, where it took six days to complete the count and call the election for Sinema.

[Mexican Wolf]

So it's like several satisfied (or disgruntled) patrons at Shooter's Grill could make the difference between Boebert keeping her seat or being sent packing.

[Mexican Wolf]

Democrats had a good dump down on the southern border!

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1590873299390959617?s=20&t=6jYTu_y...

Phrasing

They know what they said haha.

[Mexican Wolf]

If Lombardo wins and Hobbs does as well…the gubernatorial map will look like a blue snake, which is pretty cool.

If Sisolak manages to hang on it's a blue snake with a hump.

A blue snake that's eaten a kangaroo rat.

[Mexican Wolf]

Random question: Does anyone know why Yes on Proposition 309 is leading in Apache County, but No is leading in all the other counties the Democrats are leading in? I didn't think this would be the type of issue Native voters would be more conservative on, but I appreciate any insight. Does it have anything to do with long-standing issues regarding voting rights and accessibility on reservations?

[Mexican Wolf]

Probably a silly thought, but I wonder if his veto of a bill that would enter Nevada into the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact is a factor in Sisolak's weak performance compared to most of the other NV Dems.

[Mexican Wolf]

How are the Nevada state house and senate races looking right now? Are Dems on track to hold their majorities?

[Mexican Wolf]

Very excited that Question 3 looks like it's going to pass this year, and hopefully it passes again in 2024.

[Mexican Wolf]

I'll admit that even though he did frustrate me sometimes, I feel a little bad for Sisolak for being the only Dem incumbent governor to lose this year, especially given how well the party is doing overall.

[Mexican Wolf]

So with Sisolak's defeat, this will be the second midterm in a row where Republicans only flipped one governor's seat.

[Mexican Wolf]

So apparently Nevada RCV will have to pass again in 2024 to take effect?

That's right. But I'm feeling confident it'll do so again.

[Mexican Wolf]

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1591227414663004162

Lake can't quite erase Hobb's 25k lead with the 114k that are party ID'd in Maricopa, and also there's 70k in Pima still and another 178k in Maricopa after these 114k.  

If Lake is going to win it'll have to be with a substantial surge in that last 178k in Maricopa, that's her last chance.

I honestly can't even imagine what goes on in the head of a Lake/Kelly voter. "A little election denialism is alright, but not TOO MUCH election denialism. I'm a true moderate hero!"

More like "oh i'll vote for the news lady and that nice astronaut boy. ok done, back to work"

I don't even get how being the "news lady" is such a plus. As I said earlier in the thread, most local news people are airheads who think they're more important than they actually are. What the hell kind of qualification for office is that??? I wanted no one to lose in this whole cycle more than Kari Lake, as a rejection of anti-intellectualism if nothing else. Still hope it happens.

I figured voters like that would be voting more out of being more familiar with Lake than Hobbs rather than thinking being a news anchor is a better qualification for office.

[Mexican Wolf]

They can probably call the SoS race right?

NBC just did.

[Mexican Wolf]

Did someone hack CNN? https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/election-results-congress-senate-house-11-11-2022/h_9334f9972b2a3864af3a79c6779c496f

Looks like it.

PATRIOTS ARE IN CONTROL

Dark Brandon is even more powerful than we thought!

Looks like we were all wrong about the Dems' remaining paths to 218 seats.

[Mexican Wolf]

So is the Arizona GOP now becoming the Republican equivalent of the Florida Democratic Party now? They're going to be the gift that keeps on giving at this rate, and every time Republicans invested their hopes into the state, it ends up massively betraying them in the end into an electoral tipping point climax, and I just can't get enough of it.

I'd be totally happy with Arizona becoming the new, Democratic Florida. Sure it has old people too, but it's a more genuinely beautiful and interesting state. I had more of a blast in Flagstaff and visiting the Grand Canyon than I ever have had in Florida. Oh sure I've gotten blackout drunk a few times in Florida, but did it create truly lasting memories? No... partly because I was blackout drunk, but also because even if I wasn't I would see the ocean (nice, but samey after a few minutes) and hear Jimmy Buffett songs in touristy seafood restaurants and that's about it. Meanwhile Arizona has given me some of the most awe-inspiring moments in my life that make me truly appreciative of nature.

AZ>>>>>>>FL

I haven't spent nearly as much time in Arizona as I'd like, but I've loved everywhere I've been. I've been meaning to take a trip to Tucson and environs for a while now. Somehow Arizona manages to be an underrated state, I guess because the Grand Canyon takes up all the attention. Recently I found out that my local library has decades' worth of back issues of Arizona Highways and I spent a day at the library last weekend just enjoying those.

I haven't liked Florida nearly as much when I've been, but I'd still like to spend more time there, too. America is a wonderful country.

Saguaro National Park and the Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum are both very much worth it if you get out there!

[Mexican Wolf]

So does anyone want to predict whether Hobbs's final margin (by percentage and total votes) will be smaller or larger than her final margin in the 2018 SoS race (0.8% and 20,252 votes)?

[Mexican Wolf]

195K left in Maricopa. If the rest of the vote goes at this rate, Lake will only net another 6-7K. Maybe 10K if we're being generous. Still leaves Hobbs ~25-28K ahead statewide, with at least 50-70K more in Pima.

I think Hobbs is very likely the next Governor. The only questions remaining are the two House seats, Attorney General and Superintendent.

Wasn't the AG called already? Or was that a different office?

I think only the SoS and Senate races have been called so far.