Which of these Southern states will Obama do the best in? (user search)
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  Which of these Southern states will Obama do the best in? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of these Southern states will Obama do the best in?
#1
South Carolina		  
#2
Georgia		  
#3
Mississippi		  
#4
Louisiana		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Which of these Southern states will Obama do the best in?  (Read 1941 times)
Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« on: June 08, 2008, 11:52:59 PM »
South Carolina since Hurricane Katrina reduced Louisiana's black population(them ending up in FEMA refugee camps/scattered around cities) by a significant amount.
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2008, 08:54:27 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on June 09, 2008, 01:30:41 AM
GA probably... it's too early to say with any level of certainty.
Why Georgia and not South Carolina. South Carolina last time I checked had more people from the north moving in so..
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2008, 08:56:46 AM »
Obama couldn't do any worse than Kerry. Breaking 20% is possible if he plays his cards right.
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2008, 09:02:15 AM »
That could be true but look at these factors in Obama's favor: Obama being likable and not entirely wooden, his not being from a new england urban area and his attempts to cast himself a uniter and not a divider. All this doesn't mean the state's in play it just means he loses it by 55-60% and not 60-65%.
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2008, 09:10:52 AM »
McCain lacks Bush's well-polished and fine tuned air of folksiness so obviously he won't do as well as Bush. However, this doesn't mean the south will be painted blue on election night it just means closer margins.
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2008, 09:57:09 AM »
If Barr does as well as Perot(unlikely but let me have my fun) Obama winning Louisiana isn't out of the question.
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Albus Dumbledore
Havelock Vetinari
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,917
Congo, The Democratic Republic of the


Political Matrix
E: -0.71, S: -2.17
« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2008, 11:57:07 AM »
Quote from: floating_to_sea on June 09, 2008, 11:33:03 AM
i say south carolina, georgia could be interesting though and for some strange reason that goes against any and every political calculation i've been able to come up with, i have a very very weird feeling about mississippi
Why Mississippi?
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