Washington state megathread

[redcommander]

Kirby is a real first name?

Yes. I know the video game character kinda threw me off when I first met someone with the name.

[redcommander]

Article: http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2016208774_two_possible_challengers_for_c.html

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Desperation is setting in for Wilbur.  This sounds like the argument in 2010 that Martha Coakley's loss in MA was somehow a sign that Murray would lose.  Cantwell will certainly not be confused about the size of the national debt as Weprin was.

The two wouldn't be bad candidates, but yeah Cantwell isn't losing unless Obama's reelection chances start looking like Carter's. I could at least see the two breaking 40 against her. Is Larsen's district still going to be competitive? I know Koster is going to run again against him.

[redcommander]

Phillip Yin has a terrible voting record: Before the 2010 General, the last election he voted in was the 2004 General.  Also, his mailing address is in Chino, California, so evidently he splits his time between more than two places.

Well hopefully Baumgartner gets the nomination then.

[redcommander]

Who are the rumored Republicans likely to run for the new WA-10?

[redcommander]

Michael Baumgartner turns Sen. Cantwell's marital status into a political attack:

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http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2017022077_baumgartner.html?syndication=rss

It will be amusing seeing this jerk get whipped next year.

My god what a stupid comment for him to make. Not only is it discriminatory, but insinuates that she's odd for being single and childless. I seriously hope Reichert sees the writing of another likely Republican wave on the wall and puts his hat in the ring, because this is an election blowing statement for Baumgartner to say.

[redcommander]

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politicsnorthwest/2016939802__bill_finkbeiner_a_former.html

Missed that piece of news. Another "moderate" Republican challenger for Owen.

Isn't he to the left of Owen? If I remember correctly Owen did afterall endorse "Independent" Susan Hutchison for King County Executive.

[redcommander]

Why hasn't anyone polled Washington on the Republican caucuses at all this cycle?

They know Paul will win it?

[redcommander]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

[redcommander]

Oh boy, I'm so excited that the words "redefine marriage" are in the in Referendum 74 proposed ballot language.

God damn it. Oh well. More work for the HRC lawyers and ad people.

I imagine this will be somewhat easier, purely structurally speaking, in Maryland.

This is why Attorney Generals need to stop creating the ballot language on propositions, and let State Supreme Courts do so. The way the initiative is phrased could swing a fair number of people in one direction.

[redcommander]

How liberal is the district? I know that under the old lines the PVI was D+5, but does the GOP how a shot of making a race under the new lines?

The estimate I heard was that it was about 59% Obama. And Republicans only have one state legislator in the district, so they have no bench.

They could always recruit a self-funder, but yeah the peninsula hasn't been very fertile grounds for Republicans in recent years. I wasn't sure if redistricting had brought in some more conservative friendly parts from the Seattle suburbs or not.

[redcommander]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

[redcommander]

Who would the Republicans run? I can't really think of anyone, other than maybe Jan Angel.

Dino Rossi?

Wrong congressional district

I think he was joking. At least I hope he was --- hard to tell with that guy.

Yes I was. Although he would probably do better as a carpetbagger than Cloud would.