OR-01 special election: primary 11/8, general 1/31/12

[redcommander]

The Dems got lucky, because the 2012 version of this seat I believe is  a bit more Pubbie. Pity Wu quit. I told him to tough it out and finish his term, and thought his tiger Halloween suit was cute, and who cares about an old man's sex life except opebo, but he wouldn't listen to me.

Only by a point or two. Neither version of this district would vote for a Republican excluding extraordinary circumstances.

Why do you say that? It's PVI is comparable to NY-9, and on paper should actually be a little easier to pull an upset in.

[redcommander]

It looks as if Republicans think they have a chance at the seat now with the NRCC going up with an air buy. I would say Democrats are still favored, but it's not the safe seat it was two weeks ago.

[redcommander]

They're only spending $85k or so. Not impressed.

Well it's better than nothing at least.