Early Voting thread. (user search)
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June 04, 2024, 11:07:08 AM
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  Early Voting thread. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Early Voting thread.  (Read 47387 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,521
United States


« on: November 07, 2022, 12:09:20 AM »

Hate to cross-post, but have been tracking the OR-EVs on this other thread, not realizing we had a US EV thread.

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=455393.msg8846757#msg8846757e

Here is a map I posted Yesterday after running the OR TO NOs from the 11/4/22 upload.

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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,521
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2022, 12:25:25 AM »

A couple cross-posts from the OR-GOV thread:

Okay--- time for the daily OR ballot update.

11/7/22 9:54 AM DROP

Significant increase in total % of votes received between the 11/4/22 and the 11/7/22 update.

The part that gets a bit confusing for those attempting to cover the OR daily ballot return numbers, is that some counties are still working through recovering the numbers from the previous workdays returns and don't meet the state SoS publishing deadlines to report all numbers, but instead you get the "carryover" numbers from the preceding reporting period in the following daily returns, but yet allocated to the date in which ballots were received from boxes or via US Mail batches.

Regardless, I might get to that part a little bit later on in a subsequent post this PM, but will simply start with doing my usual drill of running the topline numbers from the official OR-SoS AM data dump after having posted the previous working-days official SoS reporting numbers:

11/04/22 UPDATE


DEM: 357,866 Returned     (+45,786 DVs Day-On-Day)
DEM: 1,020,961 Registered
DEM TO %: 35.1% TOTAL TO to date (+4.5% Day-On-Day)

PUB: 292,391 Returned   (+39,884 RVs Day-On-Day)
PUB: 736,671 Registered
PUB TO %: 39.7% TO to date  (+5.4% Day-On-Day)

OTHERS: 219,118 Returned    (+32,194 RVs Day-On-Day)
OTHERS: 1,236,032 Registered
OTHERS TO %: 17.7% TO to date  (+2.6% Day-On-Day)

11/07/22 UPDATE

TOTAL VOTES RETURNED TO DATE= 1,080,052 (36.0% of RVs)   
+210,677 (11/4 > 11/7) (+7.0% increase of Total RVs).


DEM: 446,224 Returned     (+88,378 DVs Day-On-Day)
DEM: 1,020,328 Registered
DEM TO %: 43.7% TOTAL TO to date (+8.6% Day-On-Day)

PUB: 355,525 Returned   (+63,134 RVs Day-On-Day)
PUB: 736,818 Registered
PUB TO %: 48.3% TO to date  (+8.6% Day-On-Day)

OTHERS: 278,283 Returned    (+59,165 RVs Day-On-Day)   
OTHERS: 1,239,498 Registered
OTHERS TO %: 22.5% TO to date  (+4.8% Day-On-Day)

Thinking about following up with another post shortly, since after all it is "Election Eve", which typically only happens in most places every two years in the US for GE, with the exception of more unusual things like special elections, off-cycle GOV elections in certain states such as VA & NJ, etc...




Might need to take a slight break and a puff of medicinal, since creating and running data numbers like this aren't especially easy to do in States where you can't easily export data files in various text based formats, and then instead are stuck with manual data entry from PDFs.

Get it that are file conversion software programs available for $$$, and where in theory can convert PDF file formats, run some code, convert into text files, and then convert into Excel using software such as Python or whatever...

Still, here is a B&W of current OR reported election ballots as of early today....

I might well run a few more numbers before Tomorrow, but no guarantees, plus need to relax a bit after a long day at the factory plus time-zone conversion and major random snow event which happened yesterday is messing with my groove.

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