States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (user search)
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  States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (search mode)
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Author Topic: States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump.  (Read 12225 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #50 on: October 04, 2020, 09:26:28 PM »

Ohio--- City #7--- Parma largest City in Ohio for vote for President Trump in 2016:

Here are the PRES numbers from '04 > '16...




Haven't run US-SEN, OH-GOV, and US-REP numbers, but looks to my immediate assessment as a Biden 2020 City...

Still def a City where there was a massive swing towards Trump in  '16 regardless of 3rd Party Voters and massively decreased / suppression of DEM voters in '16....

Considering OH State polls look like a tossup, I would consider Parma to be a Tilt / Lean Biden City at the minimum....

Thoughts anyone?



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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #51 on: October 04, 2020, 09:40:42 PM »

Ohio--- City #7--- Parma largest City in Ohio for vote for President Trump in 2016:

Here are the PRES numbers from '04 > '16...




Haven't run US-SEN, OH-GOV, and US-REP numbers, but looks to my immediate assessment as a Biden 2020 City...

Still def a City where there was a massive swing towards Trump in  '16 regardless of 3rd Party Voters and massively decreased / suppression of DEM voters in '16....

Considering OH State polls look like a tossup, I would consider Parma to be a Tilt / Lean Biden City at the minimum....

Thoughts anyone?


So follow-up on Parma--- looks like a place where Joe Biden will likely improve dramatically...

Overwhelmingly White Catholic European Ethnic Ancestry...

18% Polish, 15% Italian, 14% Irish....

Def seems like a WWC part of Ohio which will flip Biden (Quite possibly hard in 2020)....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parma,_Ohio



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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #52 on: October 08, 2020, 05:41:23 AM »

Ohio--- City #7--- Parma largest City in Ohio for vote for President Trump in 2016:

Here are the PRES numbers from '04 > '16...




Haven't run US-SEN, OH-GOV, and US-REP numbers, but looks to my immediate assessment as a Biden 2020 City...

Still def a City where there was a massive swing towards Trump in  '16 regardless of 3rd Party Voters and massively decreased / suppression of DEM voters in '16....

Considering OH State polls look like a tossup, I would consider Parma to be a Tilt / Lean Biden City at the minimum....

Thoughts anyone?





I'd say Parma is a toss-up. That was a 4% margin of victory for Trump in 2016.

Chips--- thanks for your insight. Naturally we gotta dig deeper. Wink

Can pull up additional municipal level results if you would like or source to pull them up yourself for various non-pres elections,

Full confession. Lived in the Buckeye State while going to College as a homesick Oregon Boy at the Tender Age of (17) way back in the early mid '90s.

This would be more Central / Southwest Ohio Country.

Although naturally over the Years gradually spent time in NE OH, but it wasn't anywhere close to my backyard, from Metro Cinci, Dayton, Columbus and all of the Factory Towns in between, without even going into places like East Liverpool.

Been to College Towns in OH, both Public, Private, and Religious Schools.

Still places like this are a bit of a mystery to me, considering it's literally been a couple decades since "I was a Boy in Ohio".

I hope and suspect that the vast majority of Atlas / TE Posters recognize that "demographics are not destiny", and that "Universal Swings" do not exist, and that additionally we can't simply do a compare & contrast of a preceding election simply looking at the topline numbers from just one election to another to create our own "jump to conclusion maps".

I suspect you might be slightly conservative with your predictions, but you got some boots on the ground, although Metro Cleveland is it's own bag, esp with a City like Parma.    Wink

So now that we have eliminated any potential Trollers from a serious thread, time for a bit of tunes, which was actually a song I listened to much more than the CSNY song when I first moved to Ohio homesick for Oregon....



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqnEqExyFkA

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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #53 on: November 02, 2020, 11:56:54 PM »

Bump...

For anyone looking at making last minute predictions... apologies for not getting around to run detailed numbers on every of the largest Trump City per State.   Sad
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