OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (user search)
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 111161 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
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Posts: 11,504
United States


« Reply #75 on: August 13, 2018, 10:53:24 PM »

NOVA, we would love to have you hop over to the Ohio thread, which has been a bit quiet as of late. Very interested in O'Connor's results in the precincts that overlap with Assembly District 19, 21, and 24, as well as Senate District 19.

Is that this thread???

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=253653.msg5413917#msg5413917

I did tell you that after the OH-CD-12 election, I would be happy to share some of the data that I pulled....   Smiley

First thing that caught my eye was at the Top of Page 75 on that thread talking about Mike DeWine....

Man, I sipped Ice Tea on his front porch in Greene County was back in the early '90s on a Humid Spring day, and ate some lovely cookies that his wife had baked especially for that occasion where a large number of environmental activists showed up (Arranged in advance) to discuss a few major issues of concern with our local US Congressional Rep.

Maybe time to shift to the Ohio Megathread shortly.    Wink








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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,504
United States


« Reply #76 on: August 18, 2018, 02:28:28 AM »

From the OH SoS Twitter:

Quote
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So, the remaining votes won't be all counted today, but over the next week !

Figures, OH 'PUBS are slimy weasels hiding behind the skirt of impartiality and "Fair Play" (Classic Old Skool Brit Stereotype style circa 1910-1950 of course.    Wink

So, more seriously that raises a few questions:

1.) Where did this whole votes released on 8/18/18 thing come from?.... (I'm assuming on Atlas Forum very thread).

2.) Do we have any idea of how the "official" results will roll out over this time frame from 8/18-8/24?

A. )Will it roll out officially by County once they have checked all of their numbers?

> If so, then in what order?

B.) Will it roll out gradually by County based upon precinct updates as they move through the list?

> arguably from my perspective this might be one of the more interesting "slow rolls" since it gives us more data and a longer time frame to assess EV vs ED vs PV numbers to help forecast the final numbers by place and margins....

C.) Will it be an "all in one dump" circa AZ CD-08 where basically the overwhelming majority of the ballots are counted and released simultaneously?

D.) Will we start to get into a Flordia '00 scene where various elected officials in all of the Counties of the District are playing politics and also in some cases creating their own rules when it comes to what qualifies as a legit Provo vote?

IDK---- Regardless if I had to lay money down Balderson is obviously a value proposition.

Problem still, is that we still don't know where the Provisional ballots are in CD-12.



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