Kate Brown 2020? (user search)
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  Kate Brown 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Kate Brown 2020?  (Read 3602 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,528
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« on: April 17, 2017, 12:29:40 AM »

heck no, she has been oregon's worst governor in a very long time

Queue classic Oregon Republican hack, who apparently forgot the last governor (Kitzaber) before Brown, who was pretty decent back in the days, and although I wasn't living in the state at the time, got popped on some sort of nepotism or conflict of interest charges involving his wife, ans basically the Democratic Party of Oregon effectively impeached him, and the speaker of the Oregon House/Senate took over that role....

LOL at Old School Republican trying to impose a partisan agenda on this...
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2017, 12:38:09 AM »

The consistency in the results of Oregon gubernatorial elections is rather amusing. The last 5 (2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2016) have all been narrow single-digit Democratic victories; Republicans can consistently come close to taking the governorship but never do quite manage it.

Vosem, as is overwhelmingly common, has basically the correct answer...

Kate hasn't been able to perform very well in small town and rural Oregon, let alone blue-collar cities like Albany, Keizer, Roseburg, and Coos Bay....

It's difficult to see her creating the national type of Democratic majority coalition, if she can't even perform decently in communities in her own state that are somewhat receptive to certain types of Democrats.

Granted this could all well change by 2020, but at this point Wyden or Merklely would like play better on the national stage, considering at least they have both been able to create winning majority statewide coalitions in Oregon that are not disproportionately based upon Portland and the suburbs of Portland....
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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*****
Posts: 11,528
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2017, 09:55:55 PM »

The consistency in the results of Oregon gubernatorial elections is rather amusing. The last 5 (2002, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2016) have all been narrow single-digit Democratic victories; Republicans can consistently come close to taking the governorship but never do quite manage it.

Vosem, as is overwhelmingly common, has basically the correct answer...

Kate hasn't been able to perform very well in small town and rural Oregon, let alone blue-collar cities like Albany, Keizer, Roseburg, and Coos Bay....

It's difficult to see her creating the national type of Democratic majority coalition, if she can't even perform decently in communities in her own state that are somewhat receptive to certain types of Democrats.

Granted this could all well change by 2020, but at this point Wyden or Merklely would like play better on the national stage, considering at least they have both been able to create winning majority statewide coalitions in Oregon that are not disproportionately based upon Portland and the suburbs of Portland....

She has another cycle to prove she can since she is up in 2018.

Good point, although Oregon Gubernatorial races tend to be a bit more traditional "Upstate-downstate" dynamics than US Senate elections with incumbent Dems, and a lot will depend on what deliverables she can bring to the table that frequently feels neglected compared to the "Mega-City" of Portland, as well as resentment against "Salem" (Or basically the Democratic lawmakers that control both the State House/Senate as well as Governorship....

Yeah--- if she can blow it convincingly out of the park in '18, not just in the Portland area and the cities of the Willamette Valley, I could certainly see her getting enough " media buzz" to potentially develop a national profile among the activist base of the party to potentially be a potential contender for the '20 Dem Pres Primary race....

I think in general 2018 will be an interesting test and potential winnowing of the 2020 field, if you look at within the context of a potential down-ballot hit against the Republican brand (Assuming Trump's approval ratings don't start to climb). Then the question will be where, how, and why did various potential Democratic contenders exceed performance among various key Demographics in an off-cycle election.


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