Is this good analysis? (user search)
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  Is this good analysis? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is this good analysis?  (Read 2191 times)
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,521
United States


« on: September 10, 2016, 06:52:28 PM »

Looks like a desperate chance to pull an inside straight....

NH looking impossible and CO is extremely unlikely to flip considering that despite improvements for Trump in the suburbs of Denver and Colorado Springs (El Paso County) that Latinos appear to be significantly undersampled in recent polls...

So if take NH and CO off the map, and say Trump polls out a win in ME-02, basically it comes down to flipping Wisconsin (Most plausible result) OR Michigan/Pennsylvania, that seem much less probable...

So let's take that map (subtract CO and NH) and add Wisconsin would be Trump 270 EV for the win.... flip ME-02 and would go the House I believe....

Wisconsin might be the new tipping point state.
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