Redistricting 2020, doomed incumbents (user search)
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  Redistricting 2020, doomed incumbents (search mode)
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Author Topic: Redistricting 2020, doomed incumbents  (Read 6616 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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Posts: 1,903
United States


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« on: December 16, 2019, 08:44:56 PM »

Interesting question is Utah with the commission which the legislature can ignore but what if the governor feels the need to have good government and refuses a gerrymander with some moderates in the legislature?

Hmmm... Huntsman in particular seems unlikely to sign a commission override bill if he is the next governor, but it may not matter.  Republicans have nearly 80% of the seats in both chambers (and only 1 seat flipped in each last year), so they can lose a lot of votes and still do a veto override. 

The optics of repealing the commission outright would be really, really bad.  I don't think that is what will happen.  It's more likely that they edit the commission's criteria/procedure in a way that would lead to a more Republican-leaning map.  For example, removing the COI criterion, or removing the  municipality (SLC) splitting provision but keeping the minimal county splits one.   


What would the partisan numbers be on a SLC district that only included the most Republican parts of the county?

Something like R+10 (DRA doesn't have Presidential 2016 numbers)

The DRA version I use has 2016 presidential numbers

https://davesredistricting.org/pages/index.html
Utah does not have 2016 data yet. Only 2008.
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